The 20
25 Gator Bowl features the Duke Blue Devils facing the Ole Miss Rebels, with Ole Miss favored by 17.5 points.
Team Overviews:
Duke Blue Devils (9-3): Duke's season has been marked by significant roster changes. Starting quarterback Maalik Murphy and backup Grayson Loftis have entered the transfer portal, leaving redshirt sophomore Henry Belin IV to lead the offense. Additionally, standout running back Star Thomas is unavailable, further impacting their offensive capabilities. Despite these challenges, Duke's defense has been a strong point, ranking 17th in the FBS by allowing just 4.7 yards per play.
Ole Miss Rebels (9-3): The Rebels boast a high-powered offense, ranking third nationally with 6.8 yards per play. Quarterback Jaxson Dart, who is set to enter the NFL draft, will play in the Gator Bowl, aiming to conclude his college career on a high note. Ole Miss's defense has also been formidable, leading the nation with 52 sacks this season, which could pose significant challenges for Duke's inexperienced quarterback.
Point Spread and Betting Insights:
The point spread favoring Ole Miss has widened from an opening line of 9.5 to 17.5 points, reflecting Duke's roster changes and the anticipated impact on their performance. The over/under for the game is set at 51.5 points. Analysts suggest that Ole Miss is likely to cover the spread, with predictions indicating a potential victory margin aligning with the current point spread.
Prediction:
Considering Duke's offensive challenges due to key player absences and Ole Miss's potent offense and aggressive defense, the Rebels are expected to control the game's tempo. While Duke's defense may limit some scoring opportunities, the overall advantage leans heavily toward Ole Miss. A predicted score might be Ole Miss 34, Duke 14, suggesting that Ole Miss would cover the 17.5-point spread, with the total points aligning closely with the over/under line.
Conclusion:
The 2025 Gator Bowl presents a challenging matchup for the Duke Blue Devils against the favored Ole Miss Rebels. Given the disparities in offensive firepower and the impact of Duke's roster changes, Ole Miss is projected to secure a decisive victory, likely covering the 17
.5-point spread.
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